Poland The Second Ukraine

Plonya:İkinci Ukrayna

Abstract

 The study analyses whether Russia's aggression against Ukraine will spread to states and regions other than Ukraine. In this context, it is analysed whether Poland will be the next potential target of Russia. The aim of the study is to show that the next target of the Russian threat will most likely be Poland. For now, it is thought that the most important factor protecting Poland is that it is a member of NATO. However, when Russia and Putin make the mistake of confronting NATO, Poland will be the first target. The study mainly analyses the time period after the Ukraine-Russia war. The main argument of the article is that Poland will be the next target of Russia's attempts to spread the war. In order to obtain the findings of the study, documents related to the discourses of Western and Russian leaders were analysed. This method was followed based on the idea that the discourses of leaders and administrators were important in obtaining clues about the course of the war. For this reason, document analysis was conducted on the data collected. In this framework, explanatory/descriptive case method, one of the case study types of qualitative research designs, was used. The subject was tried to be handled within the framework of realism in international relations theory. On the one hand, the scope of the research subject consists of Russia's attempts to disrupt the balance of power in Europe. On the other hand, the efforts of the states trying to maintain the balance are concentrated on Poland. This situation has led to the conclusion that the most appropriate theoretical approach for the study would be the realist theory.